CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-10-15T15:36:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-10-15T15:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/41801/-1
CME Note: Partial halo CME visible to the west in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and GOES CCOR-1 and the north in STEREO A COR2. The source of this event is a region of dimming seen centered at approximately S05W30 beginning at approximately 2025-10-15T14:04Z as seen in GOES SUVI and STEREO A EUVI 195. This dimming is also accompanied by wide opening field lines seen in GOES SUVI 195, 284 and STEREO A EUVI 195.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2025-10-18T05:15Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-10-18T08:07Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 40.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 5.66667
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 8.65 hour(s)
Difference: -2.87 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-10-17T20:36Z
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